What the numbers mean for dating in Vermont
Vermont has the smallest 18-to-44 female population of any state: of roughly 647,000 residents, an estimated 94,000 are women in that range — about 0.17% of the national pool. Burlington is the only market of consequence, a metro of about 225,000 whose University of Vermont campus and lakefront downtown give it a youthful energy wildly out of proportion to the rest of the state. Beyond Chittenden County, Vermont is a scatter of small towns where singles scenes barely exist.
The median Vermonter is 43.2 years old, third-oldest in the nation, and decades of youth out-migration have hollowed the 25-to-40 cohort outside Burlington. The women who remain are highly educated — about 43% of those 25 and older hold a bachelor's degree, among the best rates in the country — and roughly 36% of adult women have never married, with cohabitation unusually common as an alternative to marriage. For young daters, the practical market is essentially Burlington or across the lake to Plattsburgh and beyond.
A national probability from our calculator scales roughly with a state's share of the US population: preferences matching 1% of US women translate to about 940 women in Vermont. State demographics like education and marriage rates shift the real figure up or down.
Calculate your match probability
Combine age, education, body type, and more filters against national data, then scale to Vermont's 94,000 women aged 18-44.
Methodology note
Estimates combine 2023 Census Bureau state population figures with American Community Survey age, sex, education, and marital status distributions. Figures are rounded estimates for statistical education, not precise counts. See our methodology and data sources.