What the numbers mean for dating in Texas
Texas is the second-largest dating market in America: 30.5 million residents including an estimated 5.64 million women aged 18 to 44 — about 10.5% of the national pool, and growing faster than any other big state, with roughly 470,000 people added in 2023 alone. Four huge metros structure the market: Dallas-Fort Worth at 8.1 million, Houston at 7.5 million, San Antonio at 2.7 million, and Austin at 2.5 million, the last of which has one of the highest concentrations of young college graduates in the country.
Texas is remarkably young for its size — median age 35.5, nearly four years below the national figure — thanks to high birth rates and huge inflows of working-age migrants. About 33% of women 25 and older hold a bachelor's degree, with Austin and the Dallas suburbs far above that. Roughly 34% of adult women have never married. One wrinkle for men: male-skewed job migration into energy and tech gives several Texas metros, especially Austin, a modest surplus of young single men.
A national probability from our calculator scales roughly with a state's share of the US population: preferences matching 1% of US women translate to about 56,430 women in Texas. State demographics like education and marriage rates shift the real figure up or down.
Calculate your match probability
Combine age, education, body type, and more filters against national data, then scale to Texas's 5,643,000 women aged 18-44.
Methodology note
Estimates combine 2023 Census Bureau state population figures with American Community Survey age, sex, education, and marital status distributions. Figures are rounded estimates for statistical education, not precise counts. See our methodology and data sources.